[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":1569},["ShallowReactive",2],{"article-valuation-AUCN-Data-How-Much-Value-a-Car-Keeps-by-Age":3,"article-id-AUCN-Data-How-Much-Value-a-Car-Keeps-by-Age":576,"related-AUCN-Data-How-Much-Value-a-Car-Keeps-by-Age":577},{"id":4,"title":5,"articleId":6,"body":7,"category":548,"categorySlug":549,"cover":550,"description":551,"extension":552,"faq":553,"meta":566,"navigation":568,"path":569,"readTime":570,"seo":571,"slug":572,"stem":573,"updatedAt":574,"__hash__":575},"content/valuation/AUCN-Data-How-Much-Value-a-Car-Keeps-by-Age.md","AUCN Data: How Much Value a Car Keeps at Every Age",59,{"type":8,"value":9,"toc":535},"minimark",[10,14,19,26,174,178,193,196,207,211,218,294,297,319,322,326,333,359,363,366,371,374,400,408,412,443,447,467,471,474,478,497,501,521],[11,12,13],"p",{},"Everyone knows cars lose value — almost nobody can put a number on the curve. Using AUCN's own market listing data, here is what the average vehicle actually keeps, year by year.",[15,16,18],"h2",{"id":17},"the-residual-value-curve","The residual-value curve",[20,21],"data-bars",{"data":22,"note":23,"title":24,"unit":25},"2025 model:100|2024 model:91.8|2023 model:85.8|2022 model:79.5|2021 model:76.3|2020 model:72.6|2019 model:64.4|2018 model:58.7|2017 model:54.6|2016 model:48.8|2015 model:42.4|2014 model:37.4|2013 model:32.0|2012 model:28.9|2011 model:26.3|2010 model:24.5","Market-wide averages across models, body types and conditions. A specific vehicle will sit above or below the average based on condition, history and demand.","Average residual value by model year (newest model year = 100%)","%",[27,28,29,42],"table",{},[30,31,32],"thead",{},[33,34,35,39],"tr",{},[36,37,38],"th",{},"Model year",[36,40,41],{},"Average residual value",[43,44,45,54,62,70,78,86,94,102,110,118,126,134,142,150,158,166],"tbody",{},[33,46,47,51],{},[48,49,50],"td",{},"2025",[48,52,53],{},"100.0%",[33,55,56,59],{},[48,57,58],{},"2024",[48,60,61],{},"91.8%",[33,63,64,67],{},[48,65,66],{},"2023",[48,68,69],{},"85.8%",[33,71,72,75],{},[48,73,74],{},"2022",[48,76,77],{},"79.5%",[33,79,80,83],{},[48,81,82],{},"2021",[48,84,85],{},"76.3%",[33,87,88,91],{},[48,89,90],{},"2020",[48,92,93],{},"72.6%",[33,95,96,99],{},[48,97,98],{},"2019",[48,100,101],{},"64.4%",[33,103,104,107],{},[48,105,106],{},"2018",[48,108,109],{},"58.7%",[33,111,112,115],{},[48,113,114],{},"2017",[48,116,117],{},"54.6%",[33,119,120,123],{},[48,121,122],{},"2016",[48,124,125],{},"48.8%",[33,127,128,131],{},[48,129,130],{},"2015",[48,132,133],{},"42.4%",[33,135,136,139],{},[48,137,138],{},"2014",[48,140,141],{},"37.4%",[33,143,144,147],{},[48,145,146],{},"2013",[48,148,149],{},"32.0%",[33,151,152,155],{},[48,153,154],{},"2012",[48,156,157],{},"28.9%",[33,159,160,163],{},[48,161,162],{},"2011",[48,164,165],{},"26.3%",[33,167,168,171],{},[48,169,170],{},"2010",[48,172,173],{},"24.5%",[15,175,177],{"id":176},"the-first-years-hurt-most","The first years hurt most",[11,179,180,181,184,185,188,189,192],{},"The curve is steepest at the front. Measured against the newest model year as 100%, a three-year-old car sits at ",[182,183,77],"strong",{}," — a fall of roughly ",[182,186,187],{},"20 points, or about 7 points a year",". From there the decline settles to around ",[182,190,191],{},"5–6 points a year"," through to year 12, easing to roughly 5 points a year by year 15.",[11,194,195],{},"That is the practical meaning of depreciation: the buyer of a three-year-old car has already absorbed the steepest part of the drop, while a brand-new car is about to.",[11,197,198,199,206],{},"It also explains why the national fleet keeps getting older. The ABS Motor Vehicle Census puts the ",[200,201,205],"a",{"href":202,"rel":203},"https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/industry/tourism-and-transport/motor-vehicle-census-australia/latest-release",[204],"nofollow","average age of Australian vehicles at 10.6 years",", with Tasmania the oldest at 13.3 years — a fleet that reflects buyers chasing the flat part of this curve.",[15,208,210],{"id":209},"the-kilometres-that-come-with-the-age","The kilometres that come with the age",[11,212,213,214,217],{},"Price is only half the picture — the other half is distance. Across AUCN's market data, advertised vehicles average roughly ",[182,215,216],{},"12,000 to 13,000 km for every year of age",":",[27,219,220,232],{},[30,221,222],{},[33,223,224,226,229],{},[36,225,38],{},[36,227,228],{},"Average odometer",[36,230,231],{},"Kilometres per year of age",[43,233,234,244,254,264,274,284],{},[33,235,236,238,241],{},[48,237,74],{},[48,239,240],{},"45,004 km",[48,242,243],{},"~15,000 km",[33,245,246,248,251],{},[48,247,90],{},[48,249,250],{},"66,020 km",[48,252,253],{},"~13,200 km",[33,255,256,258,261],{},[48,257,106],{},[48,259,260],{},"91,747 km",[48,262,263],{},"~13,100 km",[33,265,266,268,271],{},[48,267,130],{},[48,269,270],{},"126,031 km",[48,272,273],{},"~12,600 km",[33,275,276,278,281],{},[48,277,154],{},[48,279,280],{},"161,271 km",[48,282,283],{},"~12,400 km",[33,285,286,288,291],{},[48,287,170],{},[48,289,290],{},"178,706 km",[48,292,293],{},"~11,900 km",[11,295,296],{},"Use it as a benchmark rather than a rule:",[298,299,300,307,313],"ul",{},[301,302,303,306],"li",{},[182,304,305],{},"Well below the benchmark for its age"," — either a genuine low-kilometre car, or a reading that needs service records to support it. Low kilometres are one of the most common reasons an odometer anomaly shows up.",[301,308,309,312],{},[182,310,311],{},"Around the benchmark"," — normal use; expect wear items to have been replaced on schedule.",[301,314,315,318],{},[182,316,317],{},"Well above it"," — price it in, and check what major services are due next. High-kilometre cars are not bad cars, but they are cheaper cars, and the curve already reflects that.",[11,320,321],{},"One caveat worth knowing: older cars still listed for sale have survived, so the average kilometres per year of the very oldest vehicles understate how much the scrapped ones travelled.",[15,323,325],{"id":324},"fuel-type-changes-the-picture","Fuel type changes the picture",[20,327],{"data":328,"note":329,"title":330,"unit":331,"accent":332},"Electric:214|Diesel:172|Hybrid:170|Premium petrol:168|Petrol:100|LPG:86","Index of average advertised prices across AUCN's market data, not a forecast of running costs. EVs skew high because in-market stock is mostly late-model and low-kilometre.","Listed-price index by fuel type (petrol = 100)","","#1C88FE",[298,334,335,341,353],{},[301,336,337,340],{},[182,338,339],{},"Electric vehicles"," list at more than double the price of a typical petrol car — mostly because in-market EVs are late-model with low kilometres.",[301,342,343,346,347,352],{},[182,344,345],{},"Hybrids"," price close to premium-petrol cars, with running-cost savings built into demand. The ",[200,348,351],{"href":349,"rel":350},"https://www.greenvehicleguide.gov.au/",[204],"Green Vehicle Guide"," is the official tool for comparing fuel consumption and CO2 between specific models.",[301,354,355,358],{},[182,356,357],{},"Diesel"," sits high mainly because utes and large SUVs dominate the diesel pool, not because diesel itself commands a premium.",[15,360,362],{"id":361},"which-brands-actually-hold-their-value","Which brands actually hold their value",[11,364,365],{},"The market-wide curve hides a big spread between brands. Comparing what a 2019-model vehicle sells for today against the average price of the same brand's 2025 model gives a six-year retention figure:",[20,367],{"data":368,"note":369,"title":370,"unit":25},"Subaru:66.6|Suzuki:64.4|Mazda:63.8|Mercedes-Benz:63.7|Mitsubishi:62.2|Toyota:60.7|Nissan:59.0|Isuzu:58.3|Ford:57.7|Lexus:57.3|Hyundai:54.3|Volkswagen:54.0|Kia:52.6|BMW:52.5|Audi:51.3|MG:48.6|Land Rover:45.6","Market averages across each brand's model mix, not a single-model comparison. Brands shown all have large enough listing samples in both model years to be comparable.","Six-year value retention by brand (2019 model price as a share of the brand's 2025 average)",[11,372,373],{},"What the ranking says:",[298,375,376,382,388,394],{},[301,377,378,381],{},[182,379,380],{},"Mainstream Japanese brands lead."," Subaru, Suzuki, Mazda and Toyota all sit above 60%, which is exactly the pattern long-term buyers care about.",[301,383,384,387],{},[182,385,386],{},"Mercedes-Benz holds better than its German rivals"," in this data (63.7%), while BMW (52.5%) and Audi (51.3%) sit well below it. Model mix — large SUVs versus small passenger cars — explains part of the gap.",[301,389,390,393],{},[182,391,392],{},"Land Rover is the weakest in the sample at 45.6%",", followed by MG (48.6%).",[301,395,396,399],{},[182,397,398],{},"Kia at 52.6%"," runs below the popular narrative that Korean brands now hold value as well as Japanese ones — at least across the full model mix.",[11,401,402,403,407],{},"You can read more about brand-level value patterns in our ",[200,404,406],{"href":405},"/resources/market-insights/46","guide to which car brands hold value best",".",[15,409,411],{"id":410},"if-you-are-buying","If you are buying",[413,414,415,422,428,440],"ol",{},[301,416,417,418,421],{},"Buy in the ",[182,419,420],{},"3–7-year window"," if you want maximum value per dollar — the steep drop is done, but the car is still modern.",[301,423,424,427],{},[182,425,426],{},"Compare like with like."," An EV and a petrol car at the same price are at very different points in their lives.",[301,429,430,433,434,439],{},[182,431,432],{},"Use the residual number as an anchor",", then adjust down for missing service history and up for full records — and check ",[200,435,438],{"href":436,"rel":437},"https://www.ancap.com.au/safety-ratings-explained",[204],"safety ratings"," before you fall in love with a model.",[301,441,442],{},"Factor in the four risk flags. A car with finance owing or a write-off history is worth materially less than the curve suggests.",[15,444,446],{"id":445},"if-you-are-selling-or-trading-in","If you are selling or trading in",[298,448,449,455,461],{},[301,450,451,454],{},[182,452,453],{},"Sell before year three or after year eight."," The steepest part of the curve is not the best time to be a seller.",[301,456,457,460],{},[182,458,459],{},"Document condition and service history."," Both move you above the average line — the whole curve is an average of cars that are better and worse than yours.",[301,462,463,466],{},[182,464,465],{},"Price against live comparables",", then hold firm where your records are stronger than the next car's.",[15,468,470],{"id":469},"the-bottom-line","The bottom line",[11,472,473],{},"Depreciation is not mysterious. Roughly 14 points disappear in the first three years, then 4–6 points a year after that, until condition matters more than age. Buying on the flatter part of the curve is the single most reliable way to make your money last longer.",[15,475,477],{"id":476},"related-aucn-data","Related AUCN data",[298,479,480,486,492],{},[301,481,482],{},[200,483,485],{"href":484},"/resources/history-risk/AUCN-Data-Nearly-1-in-4-Used-Cars-Carry-a-Hidden-Risk-Flag","Nearly 1 in 4 used cars carry a risk flag",[301,487,488],{},[200,489,491],{"href":490},"/resources/history-risk/AUCN-Data-Which-Brands-Are-Most-Likely-to-Have-Finance-Owing","Which brands still have finance owing",[301,493,494],{},[200,495,496],{"href":405},"Which car brands hold value best",[15,498,500],{"id":499},"sources","Sources",[298,502,503,509,515],{},[301,504,505],{},[200,506,508],{"href":202,"rel":507},[204],"ABS — Motor Vehicle Census, Australia",[301,510,511,514],{},[200,512,351],{"href":349,"rel":513},[204]," (Australian Government)",[301,516,517],{},[200,518,520],{"href":436,"rel":519},[204],"ANCAP — Safety ratings explained",[522,523,524],"blockquote",{},[11,525,526,529,530,534],{},[182,527,528],{},"About this data:"," AUCN Data, percentage basis, based on AUCN market listing data as of September 2026. Values are market-wide averages across models, body types and conditions; a specific vehicle will differ from the average. Aggregated figures only; no individual vehicles or sellers are published. See the ",[200,531,533],{"href":532},"/resources/data-notes/AUCN-Data-Methodology","AUCN Data methodology and definitions"," for how these figures are produced.",{"title":331,"searchDepth":536,"depth":536,"links":537},2,[538,539,540,541,542,543,544,545,546,547],{"id":17,"depth":536,"text":18},{"id":176,"depth":536,"text":177},{"id":209,"depth":536,"text":210},{"id":324,"depth":536,"text":325},{"id":361,"depth":536,"text":362},{"id":410,"depth":536,"text":411},{"id":445,"depth":536,"text":446},{"id":469,"depth":536,"text":470},{"id":476,"depth":536,"text":477},{"id":499,"depth":536,"text":500},"Valuation","valuation","/images/articles/aucn-data-06-residual-cover.png?v=3","A three-year-old car averages 79.5% of new-model pricing, falling about 5–6 points a year after that. See the residual curve, brand retention and km benchmarks.","md",[554,557,560,563],{"q":555,"a":556},"How much value does a car lose in the first three years?","Against the newest model year as 100%, a three-year-old car averages 79.5% — a fall of about 20 percentage points, or roughly 7 points a year.",{"q":558,"a":559},"Which brands hold their value best in Australia?","Comparing 2019-model prices with each brand's 2025 average, Subaru (66.6%), Suzuki (64.4%), Mazda (63.8%), Mercedes-Benz (63.7%) and Mitsubishi (62.2%) retain the most. Land Rover (45.6%) and MG (48.6%) retain the least in the sample.",{"q":561,"a":562},"Do electric and hybrid cars depreciate differently?","The listed-price index shows electric vehicles at 214 against petrol at 100, with hybrids (170) and premium petrol (168) close together. That largely reflects the age and kilometres of the EVs actually in the market rather than a warranty on future value.",{"q":564,"a":565},"What is a normal odometer reading for a used car?","Across AUCN's market data, advertised vehicles average roughly 12,000–13,000 kilometres for every year of age — use that as a benchmark, then adjust using the service history.",{"createdAt":567},"2026-09-28",true,"/valuation/aucn-data-how-much-value-a-car-keeps-by-age",6,{"title":5,"description":551},"AUCN-Data-How-Much-Value-a-Car-Keeps-by-Age","valuation/AUCN-Data-How-Much-Value-a-Car-Keeps-by-Age","2026-09-30","-dWd5xrWrgyFVqk_qWMzpSrxcYsL-3JOfARiG3WiYcI",null,[578,872,1255],{"id":579,"title":580,"articleId":581,"body":582,"category":548,"categorySlug":549,"cover":861,"description":862,"extension":552,"faq":576,"meta":863,"navigation":568,"path":865,"readTime":866,"seo":867,"slug":868,"stem":869,"updatedAt":870,"__hash__":871},"content/valuation/id-43.md","How to Estimate a Used Car's Real Market Value in Australia (Model, Kilometres and State Factors Explained)",43,{"type":8,"value":583,"toc":848},[584,587,590,594,597,614,617,621,624,627,641,644,648,651,668,671,675,678,681,695,698,702,705,716,719,723,726,746,749,753,756,770,773,777,780,784,787,807,810,814,817,820,822,825,845],[11,585,586],{},"Accurately estimating the market value of a used car in Australia can be challenging. Different models depreciate at different rates, each state has unique supply-and-demand patterns, and kilometres, condition and service history all have major effects on pricing.",[11,588,589],{},"This guide breaks down the fundamentals used by Australian buyers, dealers and valuation platforms to estimate a car's true market value — principles consistent with major industry sources such as Carsales, Drive, Redbook-style valuations, auction behaviour and private-sale patterns. AUCN's valuation engine is based on the same principles, enhanced with large-scale listing and historical transaction data.",[15,591,593],{"id":592},"the-three-foundation-factors","The three foundation factors",[11,595,596],{},"Start with three inputs:",[413,598,599,604,609],{},[301,600,601],{},[182,602,603],{},"Model and variant",[301,605,606],{},[182,607,608],{},"Kilometres",[301,610,611],{},[182,612,613],{},"State and location",[11,615,616],{},"These three determine more than half of a vehicle's valuation range.",[15,618,620],{"id":619},"factor-1-model-and-variant","Factor 1: Model and variant",[11,622,623],{},"Two cars of the same age can differ by thousands of dollars depending on brand reputation, reliability history, parts cost and availability, engine and transmission type, fuel economy, demand within Australia, resale strength and popularity in specific states.",[11,625,626],{},"Patterns found across industry-wide data:",[298,628,629,632,635,638],{},[301,630,631],{},"hybrid models often retain stronger value due to lower running costs",[301,633,634],{},"popular Japanese brands tend to have more predictable resale patterns",[301,636,637],{},"European prestige models may drop faster after warranty periods",[301,639,640],{},"utes and 4x4 models maintain stronger demand in QLD, WA and NT",[11,642,643],{},"Always start with the exact model and variant, not just the brand.",[15,645,647],{"id":646},"factor-2-kilometres","Factor 2: Kilometres",[11,649,650],{},"Kilometres are one of the most important valuation inputs. Across the Australian market, most valuation models use variations of these principles:",[298,652,653,656,659,662,665],{},[301,654,655],{},"cars with significantly lower kilometres for age attract a premium",[301,657,658],{},"above-average kilometres reduce demand",[301,660,661],{},"large gaps between services reduce confidence and value",[301,663,664],{},"diesel vehicles tolerate higher kilometres more easily",[301,666,667],{},"electric vehicles follow a different depreciation curve influenced by battery age",[11,669,670],{},"Mileage does not change value linearly. For example, the difference between 20,000 km and 40,000 km is often more meaningful than the difference between 160,000 km and 180,000 km. This is why AUCN reports display kilometre patterns rather than treating kilometres as a simple number.",[15,672,674],{"id":673},"factor-3-state-and-location","Factor 3: State and location",[11,676,677],{},"Car values differ by state due to population density, local demand for certain vehicle types, availability of used stock, inspection and registration rules, climate and road conditions, and transport costs.",[11,679,680],{},"Examples of market patterns supported by publicly observable trends:",[298,682,683,686,689,692],{},[301,684,685],{},"VIC and NSW usually have the largest used-vehicle supply, which can reduce prices through competition.",[301,687,688],{},"QLD, WA and NT often have stronger demand for 4x4s, utes and diesel vehicles.",[301,690,691],{},"TAS and NT have smaller markets with wider price gaps between similar vehicles.",[301,693,694],{},"Interstate transfer requirements (such as the VIC RWC or NSW Blue Slip) affect cross-state pricing.",[11,696,697],{},"AUCN valuation models adjust for state data because buyers compare cars within their region first.",[15,699,701],{"id":700},"how-age-interacts-with-value","How age interacts with value",[11,703,704],{},"Age interacts with kilometres and model type. Market observations across major Australian platforms indicate:",[298,706,707,710,713],{},[301,708,709],{},"the first three to five years see the strongest depreciation",[301,711,712],{},"values stabilise between years five and ten if the model is reliable and well maintained",[301,714,715],{},"beyond ten years, condition matters more than age alone",[11,717,718],{},"AUCN's valuation ranges incorporate age patterns observed from large volumes of used-car listing data.",[15,720,722],{"id":721},"how-condition-moves-the-price","How condition moves the price",[11,724,725],{},"Condition affects value significantly, even when kilometres and age are similar. Key elements include:",[298,727,728,731,734,737,740,743],{},[301,729,730],{},"exterior condition (paintwork, dents, hail damage)",[301,732,733],{},"interior condition (wear, stains, seat damage)",[301,735,736],{},"tyre and brake condition",[301,738,739],{},"windscreen condition",[301,741,742],{},"modification quality",[301,744,745],{},"mechanical soundness",[11,747,748],{},"Buyers often reduce their offer by the expected repair cost; dealers use the same logic in trade-in assessments.",[15,750,752],{"id":751},"service-history-tells-the-ownership-story","Service history tells the ownership story",[11,754,755],{},"Industry behaviour shows:",[298,757,758,761,764,767],{},[301,759,760],{},"consistent, well-documented servicing increases confidence and value",[301,762,763],{},"missing logbook pages or long service gaps reduce value",[301,765,766],{},"major items such as timing-belt replacement influence price",[301,768,769],{},"a history of repairs at reputable workshops improves perceived reliability",[11,771,772],{},"AUCN includes registration and odometer consistency checks to help buyers assess this factor.",[15,774,776],{"id":775},"timing-matters-too","Timing matters too",[11,778,779],{},"Buyers and sellers adjust prices around the end of the financial year, holiday periods, fuel-price trends, weather (4x4 demand rises before summer), new-model releases and economic conditions. Private sellers often list lower prices when they need a fast sale, which can affect the wider market.",[15,781,783],{"id":782},"triangulate-with-multiple-sources","Triangulate with multiple sources",[11,785,786],{},"Australian buyers typically cross-reference several sources:",[298,788,789,792,795,798,801,804],{},[301,790,791],{},"AUCN valuation and similar-sales data",[301,793,794],{},"online classified listings",[301,796,797],{},"dealer pricing",[301,799,800],{},"auction results",[301,802,803],{},"manufacturer depreciation trends",[301,805,806],{},"private-sale history",[11,808,809],{},"Using multiple inputs prevents overconfidence in a single number and gives a more accurate price range.",[15,811,813],{"id":812},"how-aucn-builds-its-valuations","How AUCN builds its valuations",[11,815,816],{},"AUCN valuations are based on real market listing behaviour, historical sale patterns, model-specific depreciation trends, kilometre-curve modelling, state-by-state supply and demand, and inspection and registry consistency.",[11,818,819],{},"The goal is not a single absolute number, but a realistic, data-based valuation range that reflects the car's model and variant, the market in the buyer's specific state, the vehicle's age and kilometres, current demand levels and expected negotiation margins. AUCN valuation insights complement official risk checks such as PPSR/REVS.",[15,821,470],{"id":469},[11,823,824],{},"To estimate accurate value, follow this sequence:",[413,826,827,830,833,836,839,842],{},[301,828,829],{},"Identify the exact model and variant.",[301,831,832],{},"Compare kilometres with age and market averages.",[301,834,835],{},"Adjust for your state's supply and demand.",[301,837,838],{},"Review recent similar listings.",[301,840,841],{},"Factor in condition, registration and upcoming service items.",[301,843,844],{},"Use PPSR and AUCN reports to ensure no hidden risks affect value.",[11,846,847],{},"This approach reflects how experienced Australian buyers, dealers and brokers assess real market value.",{"title":331,"searchDepth":536,"depth":536,"links":849},[850,851,852,853,854,855,856,857,858,859,860],{"id":592,"depth":536,"text":593},{"id":619,"depth":536,"text":620},{"id":646,"depth":536,"text":647},{"id":673,"depth":536,"text":674},{"id":700,"depth":536,"text":701},{"id":721,"depth":536,"text":722},{"id":751,"depth":536,"text":752},{"id":775,"depth":536,"text":776},{"id":782,"depth":536,"text":783},{"id":812,"depth":536,"text":813},{"id":469,"depth":536,"text":470},"/images/articles/20260211151041001.jpg","Estimating a used car’s real market value in Australia comes down to three core inputs: model/variant, kilometres, and state/location — then refining with age, condition, service history, and local supply-and-demand. This guide explains the “km curve”, why the same car prices differently across states, and how buyers and dealers triangulate value using listings, auction behaviour and valuation tools, with AUCN’s approach focused on a realistic price range rather than a single number.",{"createdAt":864},"2026-02-09","/valuation/id-43",5,{"title":580,"description":862},"43","valuation/id-43","2026-08-20","zNigwQcvUw2b1aqvJs6lyQhPFoxQTzpc9rjZBsZ9gZ4",{"id":873,"title":874,"articleId":875,"body":876,"category":548,"categorySlug":549,"cover":1247,"description":1248,"extension":552,"faq":576,"meta":1249,"navigation":568,"path":1250,"readTime":570,"seo":1251,"slug":1252,"stem":1253,"updatedAt":870,"__hash__":1254},"content/valuation/id-45.md","Used Car Depreciation Guide: How Much Value Cars Lose in 1–10 Years",45,{"type":8,"value":877,"toc":1227},[878,881,884,888,905,909,912,932,935,939,942,959,968,972,975,995,998,1002,1005,1008,1011,1022,1026,1029,1052,1055,1093,1096,1100,1105,1108,1112,1115,1119,1122,1126,1129,1133,1136,1140,1143,1159,1162,1166,1189,1192,1196,1199,1201,1204,1224],[11,879,880],{},"Every car loses value over time, but the speed and pattern of depreciation vary greatly between brands, body types, fuel types and usage conditions. Understanding depreciation is one of the most effective ways to avoid overpaying and to choose a car that will retain value better in the future.",[11,882,883],{},"This guide explains how used-car depreciation works in Australia from years 1 to 10, using principles consistent with industry valuation behaviour across marketplace listings, trade-in pricing, wholesale auctions and Redbook-style depreciation trends.",[15,885,887],{"id":886},"key-takeaways","Key takeaways",[298,889,890,893,896,899,902],{},[301,891,892],{},"Depreciation follows a curve: the steepest drop comes early, then it flattens mid-life before becoming condition-driven.",[301,894,895],{},"The first three years typically show the largest relative decline.",[301,897,898],{},"From years 7–10, individual condition outweighs age; beyond 10 years it dominates.",[301,900,901],{},"Brand reliability, body type, fuel type, state supply and known model issues all shift the curve.",[301,903,904],{},"Estimate future value with a checklist: model reputation, supply, kilometres, common issues and market range.",[15,906,908],{"id":907},"depreciation-is-not-linear","Depreciation is not linear",[11,910,911],{},"A common misconception is that cars lose value at a constant rate every year. In reality, depreciation follows a curve:",[298,913,914,920,926],{},[301,915,916,919],{},[182,917,918],{},"first few years"," — sharpest drop",[301,921,922,925],{},[182,923,924],{},"mid-life (years 5–10)"," — slower, more stable decline",[301,927,928,931],{},[182,929,930],{},"beyond 10 years"," — condition matters more than age",[11,933,934],{},"Understanding this curve helps buyers spot overpriced vehicles and predict future value.",[15,936,938],{"id":937},"years-13-the-steepest-decline","Years 1–3: the steepest decline",[11,940,941],{},"The first three years typically show the strongest depreciation due to:",[298,943,944,947,950,953,956],{},[301,945,946],{},"new-car price premiums",[301,948,949],{},"drive-away costs",[301,951,952],{},"warranty and capped-service plans rolling off",[301,954,955],{},"rapid supply growth from fleet returns",[301,957,958],{},"technology updates making older models less appealing",[11,960,961,962,967],{},"Market observations across major Australian platforms like ",[200,963,966],{"href":964,"rel":965},"https://savvy.com.au/car-loans/car-depreciation-comparison/",[204],"Savvy"," show that most models experience their largest relative decline in these early years. During this period, buyers often benefit from purchasing a vehicle that is already out of its steep-drop window but still relatively new.",[15,969,971],{"id":970},"years-46-stabilising-but-influenced-by-reliability","Years 4–6: stabilising, but influenced by reliability",[11,973,974],{},"Between years four and six, depreciation becomes slower and more predictable. At this stage, value depends heavily on:",[298,976,977,980,983,986,989,992],{},[301,978,979],{},"brand reliability record",[301,981,982],{},"maintenance quality",[301,984,985],{},"model-specific issues",[301,987,988],{},"real-world fuel efficiency",[301,990,991],{},"body-type demand (SUVs and utes often perform well)",[301,993,994],{},"kilometres compared with market averages",[11,996,997],{},"Vehicles known for strong reliability tend to stabilise in value earlier; vehicles with costly repair histories may continue depreciating faster.",[15,999,1001],{"id":1000},"years-710-condition-takes-over","Years 7–10: condition takes over",[11,1003,1004],{},"Beyond year seven, the vehicle's individual condition overtakes most other factors. Buyers pay attention to odometer readings, major service items (timing belt, brakes, suspension, battery), accident history, interior wear, paint condition and signs of hard use.",[11,1006,1007],{},"Depreciation is slower, but uneven. Well-maintained vehicles retain value surprisingly well, while neglected examples can lose value rapidly.",[11,1009,1010],{},"Different body types also behave differently:",[298,1012,1013,1016,1019],{},[301,1014,1015],{},"4x4s and utes retain higher value due to regional demand",[301,1017,1018],{},"small city cars drop more due to oversupply",[301,1020,1021],{},"hybrids stabilise earlier because of lower running costs",[15,1023,1025],{"id":1024},"beyond-10-years-condition-and-use-case-decide","Beyond 10 years: condition and use case decide",[11,1027,1028],{},"After ten years, age matters less than:",[298,1030,1031,1034,1037,1040,1043,1046,1049],{},[301,1032,1033],{},"maintenance records",[301,1035,1036],{},"kilometres",[301,1038,1039],{},"rust or structural damage",[301,1041,1042],{},"common mechanical issues",[301,1044,1045],{},"ownership history",[301,1047,1048],{},"appearance and interior quality",[301,1050,1051],{},"how the market views the model",[11,1053,1054],{},"At this stage, vehicles fall into three categories:",[27,1056,1057,1067],{},[30,1058,1059],{},[33,1060,1061,1064],{},[36,1062,1063],{},"Category",[36,1065,1066],{},"Demand",[43,1068,1069,1077,1085],{},[33,1070,1071,1074],{},[48,1072,1073],{},"Well-maintained and reliable",[48,1075,1076],{},"Strong",[33,1078,1079,1082],{},[48,1080,1081],{},"Average condition with predictable wear",[48,1083,1084],{},"Middle market",[33,1086,1087,1090],{},[48,1088,1089],{},"Poor condition, poorly maintained",[48,1091,1092],{},"Low demand, heavily discounted",[11,1094,1095],{},"Depreciation varies widely depending on which category the car belongs to.",[15,1097,1099],{"id":1098},"factors-that-shift-the-depreciation-curve","Factors that shift the depreciation curve",[1101,1102,1104],"h3",{"id":1103},"brand-reliability-and-reputation","Brand reliability and reputation",[11,1106,1107],{},"Publicly observable market behaviour shows Japanese brands often retain stronger value due to reliability, European brands show wider variance depending on maintenance cost, and Korean brands have improved in valuation strength in recent years. Buyers factor in the long-term cost of ownership.",[1101,1109,1111],{"id":1110},"body-type-demand","Body-type demand",[11,1113,1114],{},"Australian demand patterns strongly affect price stability: SUVs remain the strongest-performing category, utes and 4x4s are highly valued in QLD, WA and NT, small hatchbacks face more price competition, and electric vehicles follow different value curves influenced by battery age.",[1101,1116,1118],{"id":1117},"fuel-type-and-running-costs","Fuel type and running costs",[11,1120,1121],{},"Fuel-price movements affect depreciation: hybrids retain strong demand due to lower running costs, diesel vehicles vary depending on state and usage, and petrol vehicles follow more traditional depreciation curves.",[1101,1123,1125],{"id":1124},"state-by-state-supply-and-demand","State-by-state supply and demand",[11,1127,1128],{},"Pricing is also shaped by each state's market. VIC and NSW have greater supply, which narrows price variation; QLD and WA have stronger demand for utes and 4x4s; and TAS and NT show wider pricing gaps due to low supply. AUCN valuation models account for these differences.",[1101,1130,1132],{"id":1131},"known-model-issues-and-recalls","Known model issues and recalls",[11,1134,1135],{},"Vehicles with recurring mechanical issues or recalls may depreciate faster — transmission failures, timing-chain stretch, electrical-system faults and excessive oil consumption all count. Buyers discount models with well-known reliability problems, and AUCN includes recall and common-issue insights in its extended reports.",[15,1137,1139],{"id":1138},"kilometres-the-most-misunderstood-factor","Kilometres: the most misunderstood factor",[11,1141,1142],{},"Kilometres affect value differently depending on age. Principles observed across market listings:",[298,1144,1145,1148,1150,1153,1156],{},[301,1146,1147],{},"low kilometres for age attract premiums",[301,1149,658],{},[301,1151,1152],{},"large gaps between services reduce confidence",[301,1154,1155],{},"diesel engines tolerate higher kilometres in regional markets",[301,1157,1158],{},"hybrid and EV depreciation relates more to battery health",[11,1160,1161],{},"Kilometres do not follow a one-size-fits-all rule — AUCN models kilometre impact relative to the vehicle's class and age.",[15,1163,1165],{"id":1164},"how-to-predict-future-value-before-buying","How to predict future value before buying",[413,1167,1168,1171,1174,1177,1180,1183,1186],{},[301,1169,1170],{},"Start with the model's reliability reputation.",[301,1172,1173],{},"Research market supply within your state.",[301,1175,1176],{},"Compare kilometres with similar vehicles.",[301,1178,1179],{},"Review common model issues.",[301,1181,1182],{},"Check registration expiry and upcoming service items.",[301,1184,1185],{},"Use PPSR and AUCN reports to rule out risk factors.",[301,1187,1188],{},"Compare multiple listings to identify the true market range.",[11,1190,1191],{},"This mirrors the process used by experienced car buyers and small dealers.",[15,1193,1195],{"id":1194},"how-aucn-uses-depreciation-patterns","How AUCN uses depreciation patterns",[11,1197,1198],{},"AUCN's valuation insights rely on historical listing behaviour, model-specific depreciation curves, state-level supply and demand, kilometre and age interaction, typical service-cycle patterns, common repair costs, and auction and private-sale behaviour. The focus is not a single number, but a realistic valuation range reflecting current market conditions.",[15,1200,470],{"id":469},[11,1202,1203],{},"Depreciation is predictable when you understand the model, kilometres and state factors. Before buying a used car, follow this process:",[413,1205,1206,1209,1212,1215,1218,1221],{},[301,1207,1208],{},"PPSR/REVS check",[301,1210,1211],{},"AUCN valuation and history report",[301,1213,1214],{},"Condition and service verification",[301,1216,1217],{},"Test drive",[301,1219,1220],{},"Market comparison",[301,1222,1223],{},"Negotiation based on objective facts",[11,1225,1226],{},"This approach helps buyers avoid overpaying and choose vehicles that hold value better over time.",{"title":331,"searchDepth":536,"depth":536,"links":1228},[1229,1230,1231,1232,1233,1234,1235,1243,1244,1245,1246],{"id":886,"depth":536,"text":887},{"id":907,"depth":536,"text":908},{"id":937,"depth":536,"text":938},{"id":970,"depth":536,"text":971},{"id":1000,"depth":536,"text":1001},{"id":1024,"depth":536,"text":1025},{"id":1098,"depth":536,"text":1099,"children":1236},[1237,1239,1240,1241,1242],{"id":1103,"depth":1238,"text":1104},3,{"id":1110,"depth":1238,"text":1111},{"id":1117,"depth":1238,"text":1118},{"id":1124,"depth":1238,"text":1125},{"id":1131,"depth":1238,"text":1132},{"id":1138,"depth":536,"text":1139},{"id":1164,"depth":536,"text":1165},{"id":1194,"depth":536,"text":1195},{"id":469,"depth":536,"text":470},"/images/articles/20260211145712001.jpg","Car depreciation in Australia isn’t a straight line. This guide explains the typical value curve from years 1–10 (steepest drop early, stabilising mid-life, then condition-driven later), and the key factors that shift depreciation: brand reliability, body type demand, fuel and running costs, state-by-state supply, kilometres vs age, and known model issues. It also outlines a practical checklist to estimate future value before you buy.",{"createdAt":864},"/valuation/id-45",{"title":874,"description":1248},"45","valuation/id-45","7xo6m5fa5R1iYmyhl37FP0dFYSA5Fo4mqxCgi5qicb4",{"id":1256,"title":1257,"articleId":1258,"body":1259,"category":548,"categorySlug":549,"cover":1560,"description":1561,"extension":552,"faq":576,"meta":1562,"navigation":568,"path":1563,"readTime":1564,"seo":1565,"slug":1566,"stem":1567,"updatedAt":870,"__hash__":1568},"content/valuation/id-49.md","How Odometer, Condition, and Service Records Affect Car Value",49,{"type":8,"value":1260,"toc":1538},[1261,1264,1267,1269,1286,1290,1293,1296,1300,1303,1307,1310,1314,1317,1321,1324,1344,1347,1351,1354,1358,1361,1365,1368,1372,1375,1379,1382,1402,1405,1409,1412,1416,1419,1423,1426,1429,1433,1436,1456,1459,1463,1468,1488,1493,1510,1513,1515,1518,1535],[11,1262,1263],{},"When buyers compare used cars, price differences often come down to three factors: odometer readings, overall condition and the completeness of service records. These factors influence how confident a buyer feels, how much they are willing to pay, and how quickly a vehicle will sell.",[11,1265,1266],{},"Understanding how each factor shapes value helps buyers avoid overpaying and helps sellers secure the best possible price.",[15,1268,887],{"id":886},[298,1270,1271,1274,1277,1280,1283],{},[301,1272,1273],{},"Kilometres signal wear; condition signals care; service records signal long-term reliability.",[301,1275,1276],{},"Kilometres must always be judged relative to age — and some vehicles tolerate high kilometres better than others.",[301,1278,1279],{},"Cosmetic faults can cut perceived value sharply, even when cheap to repair.",[301,1281,1282],{},"Full service history typically sells faster and at a higher price; multiple gaps create uncertainty.",[301,1284,1285],{},"Accident and repair history still matters even when kilometres and servicing look strong.",[15,1287,1289],{"id":1288},"_1-odometer-readings-the-strongest-value-signal","1. Odometer readings: the strongest value signal",[11,1291,1292],{},"Odometer readings are one of the strongest influences on used-car pricing in Australia. Higher kilometres generally mean more mechanical wear, shorter remaining component life, a higher likelihood of upcoming repairs, reduced buyer confidence and a smaller buyer pool.",[11,1294,1295],{},"But the impact is not the same for every car.",[1101,1297,1299],{"id":1298},"kilometres-must-be-judged-relative-to-age","Kilometres must be judged relative to age",[11,1301,1302],{},"Buyers expect roughly similar kilometre ranges within each age group. A three-year-old car with unusually high kilometres may lose appeal, while a ten-year-old car with lower-than-average kilometres can attract strong demand.",[1101,1304,1306],{"id":1305},"some-vehicles-tolerate-high-kilometres-better","Some vehicles tolerate high kilometres better",[11,1308,1309],{},"Examples include Toyota, Subaru, Mazda and other reliability-focused brands, diesel utes and 4x4s used for regional work, and vehicles with strong service histories. These models often retain value better even at higher kilometre levels.",[1101,1311,1313],{"id":1312},"kilometre-spikes-reduce-confidence","Kilometre spikes reduce confidence",[11,1315,1316],{},"A car averaging 12,000 km a year that suddenly shows a single-year jump to 30,000 km triggers questions about long trips, fleet usage, hard use and missed service cycles. Buyers may discount these vehicles unless clear service evidence supports the history.",[15,1318,1320],{"id":1319},"_2-vehicle-condition-the-biggest-price-divider-after-age-and-kilometres","2. Vehicle condition: the biggest price divider after age and kilometres",[11,1322,1323],{},"Beyond odometer readings, overall condition is one of the most significant drivers of resale value. Condition includes:",[298,1325,1326,1329,1332,1335,1338,1341],{},[301,1327,1328],{},"interior wear",[301,1330,1331],{},"exterior paint and panels",[301,1333,1334],{},"tyre health",[301,1336,1337],{},"brake condition",[301,1339,1340],{},"suspension behaviour",[301,1342,1343],{},"evidence of careful or careless ownership",[11,1345,1346],{},"Two cars with similar kilometres can differ dramatically in demand if one shows signs of hard use.",[1101,1348,1350],{"id":1349},"cosmetic-condition-matters","Cosmetic condition matters",[11,1352,1353],{},"Buyers often judge a car within the first minute of inspection. Minor cosmetic faults — even inexpensive ones to repair — can sharply reduce perceived value.",[1101,1355,1357],{"id":1356},"mechanical-condition-affects-negotiation-power","Mechanical condition affects negotiation power",[11,1359,1360],{},"Issues that commonly reduce resale value include worn brakes or tyres, worn suspension, rough idle, fluid leaks, delayed servicing and visible accident repairs. Even if repairable, these issues give buyers strong negotiation leverage.",[1101,1362,1364],{"id":1363},"evidence-of-harsh-use-lowers-value","Evidence of harsh use lowers value",[11,1366,1367],{},"Examples include work-ute tray damage, tow-bar usage without supporting service history, mismatched panels, faded paint from outdoor parking and worn interior parts. Such signs reduce confidence in the car's long-term reliability.",[15,1369,1371],{"id":1370},"_3-service-records-the-best-indicator-of-long-term-care","3. Service records: the best indicator of long-term care",[11,1373,1374],{},"Service records consistently influence buyer decisions more than most sellers realise. A vehicle with complete documentation typically sells faster and at a higher price.",[1101,1376,1378],{"id":1377},"full-service-history-increases-confidence","Full service history increases confidence",[11,1380,1381],{},"Buyers want to see:",[298,1383,1384,1387,1390,1393,1396,1399],{},[301,1385,1386],{},"regular oil changes",[301,1388,1389],{},"brake servicing",[301,1391,1392],{},"scheduled timing-belt or chain inspections",[301,1394,1395],{},"tyre rotation",[301,1397,1398],{},"cooling-system service",[301,1400,1401],{},"transmission and differential servicing (where applicable)",[11,1403,1404],{},"A full record shows consistent maintenance rather than reactive repair.",[1101,1406,1408],{"id":1407},"gaps-in-service-history-reduce-value","Gaps in service history reduce value",[11,1410,1411],{},"Missing a single service is not uncommon, but multiple gaps indicate possible long-term neglect, skipped major items and uncertainty about internal wear. That uncertainty alone can reduce the final sale price.",[1101,1413,1415],{"id":1414},"dealer-vs-independent-records","Dealer vs independent records",[11,1417,1418],{},"Australian buyers generally accept both. What matters most is documentation, regular intervals and reputable service centres. Strong records often outweigh brand preference.",[15,1420,1422],{"id":1421},"accident-and-repair-history-still-matter","Accident and repair history still matter",[11,1424,1425],{},"Even when kilometres and servicing are strong, buyers still consider accident history, repair quality, evidence of repainting, structural repairs and insurance write-off history. These factors can materially change a car's resale value.",[11,1427,1428],{},"A clean PPSR/REVS history does not always mean a car has never been repaired — but it does eliminate the major risk categories.",[15,1430,1432],{"id":1431},"how-aucn-valuation-considers-these-factors","How AUCN valuation considers these factors",[11,1434,1435],{},"AUCN valuation insights incorporate patterns observed across the Australian market, including:",[298,1437,1438,1441,1444,1447,1450,1453],{},[301,1439,1440],{},"kilometre ranges by age and body type",[301,1442,1443],{},"the interaction between age, kilometres and region",[301,1445,1446],{},"how missing services affect buyer confidence",[301,1448,1449],{},"common model issues that influence resale pricing",[301,1451,1452],{},"state-level demand differences",[301,1454,1455],{},"typical listing longevity for various condition levels",[11,1457,1458],{},"Instead of a single fixed number, AUCN provides a realistic valuation range that accounts for these factors in real-world conditions.",[15,1460,1462],{"id":1461},"practical-advice-for-buyers-and-sellers","Practical advice for buyers and sellers",[11,1464,1465],{},[182,1466,1467],{},"Buyers should:",[298,1469,1470,1473,1476,1479,1482,1485],{},[301,1471,1472],{},"check odometer readings relative to vehicle age",[301,1474,1475],{},"review service records for consistency",[301,1477,1478],{},"favour vehicles with complete documentation",[301,1480,1481],{},"inspect the underbody, tyres and suspension",[301,1483,1484],{},"compare with similar listings in the same region",[301,1486,1487],{},"run REVS/PPSR checks for major risk categories",[11,1489,1490],{},[182,1491,1492],{},"Sellers should:",[298,1494,1495,1498,1501,1504,1507],{},[301,1496,1497],{},"prepare service records clearly",[301,1499,1500],{},"fix minor cosmetic issues before listing",[301,1502,1503],{},"highlight important maintenance work",[301,1505,1506],{},"present the car cleanly, inside and out",[301,1508,1509],{},"provide REVS/PPSR documentation upfront",[11,1511,1512],{},"Doing so shortens time-to-sale and increases buyer confidence.",[15,1514,470],{"id":469},[11,1516,1517],{},"In Australia's used-car market:",[298,1519,1520,1525,1530],{},[301,1521,1522],{},[182,1523,1524],{},"kilometres signal wear",[301,1526,1527],{},[182,1528,1529],{},"condition signals care",[301,1531,1532],{},[182,1533,1534],{},"service records signal long-term reliability",[11,1536,1537],{},"Together, these three factors shape the majority of a vehicle's resale value. Understanding and applying these principles helps buyers avoid overpaying and helps sellers present their vehicles more effectively.",{"title":331,"searchDepth":536,"depth":536,"links":1539},[1540,1541,1546,1551,1556,1557,1558,1559],{"id":886,"depth":536,"text":887},{"id":1288,"depth":536,"text":1289,"children":1542},[1543,1544,1545],{"id":1298,"depth":1238,"text":1299},{"id":1305,"depth":1238,"text":1306},{"id":1312,"depth":1238,"text":1313},{"id":1319,"depth":536,"text":1320,"children":1547},[1548,1549,1550],{"id":1349,"depth":1238,"text":1350},{"id":1356,"depth":1238,"text":1357},{"id":1363,"depth":1238,"text":1364},{"id":1370,"depth":536,"text":1371,"children":1552},[1553,1554,1555],{"id":1377,"depth":1238,"text":1378},{"id":1407,"depth":1238,"text":1408},{"id":1414,"depth":1238,"text":1415},{"id":1421,"depth":536,"text":1422},{"id":1431,"depth":536,"text":1432},{"id":1461,"depth":536,"text":1462},{"id":469,"depth":536,"text":470},"/images/articles/20260210190857001.jpg","Used car pricing in Australia is heavily shaped by three signals: kilometres, overall condition, and service record completeness. This article explains how buyers interpret each factor (km relative to age, cosmetic vs mechanical condition, and service history gaps), why these signals change buyer confidence and negotiation power, and how AUCN valuation uses real market patterns to provide a more realistic value range.",{"createdAt":864},"/valuation/id-49",4,{"title":1257,"description":1561},"49","valuation/id-49","-ajQkj-PX6RQ0--IAAEyVXHmJUpUw45dLAEtP9ZvRtQ",1790756169175]